Ok well first off your assuming your behind in the example. But in a 5 handed game, if I had A-x I would probably have raised preflop. Especially in the bb with a couple of limpers. No one is representing a solid hand so a nice size raise pre flop would have taken down the pot. Considering there was not a preflop raise there is a good chance your Js are the best hand and you should raise.
Of course there is always the chance that the BB had QK (though he probably should slow-play that, but I will ignore that in this point) then you need to hit runner running to win the hand or hit the King just to spilt. So your pot odds to win this hand are extremely low.
But if we are assuming BB has A-x, then I would calculate odds like this.
You have 9 outs and you have seen 5 cards. So there are 47 cards left in which you can win with 9 of them.
47/9 = 5.22 to 1 that you hit one of your outs on the turn. Assuming you don't hit on the turn then you have a 46/9 = 5.11 to 1 chance of hitting on the river. This gives you about 42% chance to win I believe. However, before the turn the pot is offering you 3 to 1 on your money so you should call. I'm not a pot odds expert either so I could be completly wrong on this, but thats they way I do it. |