first of all your min raise, i nkow it's not your fault but it caused anyone to call with a wide range of hands.
secondly, take control of the pot, continuation bet. the flop is relatively dry and would have give decent draws to hands like 54 or 89
bet out a decent two thirds of the pot.
your check calling on the flop and turn was the problem. you gave him the opportunity to draw out on you, as you dodn't make any bet on the way to make him fold. again, the flop would have been the best place to bet on your part. you didn't do it, so you got out drawn, and you shouldn't be mad about it because u didn't do anything about it. it's your fault.
if you put him on A7,A6 well calling would be the wrong thing to do given the situation you would be seeking to hit the queen only in the turn as the ace would give him 2 pair according to your reads.
chances of hitting your Q on the turn? 6% or 15.5 to 1.
the pot odds are giving you 4-1 if he bet a third of the pot.
that means you should only call if you think you have the implieds odds of getting more chips out of your opponents once that queen hits.
the pot was 550 on the flop, he probably bet 200, which means, that you should onlly call so that if you do hit your queen on the turn, you'll be able to extract an extra 2200 chips out of him. you make the decisions if you could have.
unfortunately you called and the ace hit the turn.
now according to your reads he has 2 pair. youhave a pair.
he bet half the pot so that's abot 500 into a 950 pot.
your chances of beating his two pair is if u hit your two pair or if a jack hits to give you the higher two pair (with a better kicker), so you are drawing to 6 outs.
that's 12%, or 7 to 1, pot odds are right now 3 to 1, so again, only call if u can extract an extra 2000 or more out of him on the river when you do hit.
sticking to your reads, raising him on the river was the right thing to do i guess.
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all this was assuming you put your opponent specifically on a7,a6
now you'll probably have to put your opponent on a wide range of hands so the odds will get much different even for me to calculate and i'm notgood at it.
if you put him on any sort of draw, you should have bet out on the turn when you hit your ace to not give your opponent the odds of drawing out on you.
you never made any bet on the way and called passively all the way, there's no one to blame but yourself.
as for his daring play, well done for him on taking control of the pot and getting chips out of you, if i were him i would have bet 3/4 of the pot.  |