fold 50% of the cards that are coming out of the deck are higher than yours. I am also assuming it is the start of or very early in the tournament and the blinds are very low something like 25/50. That would make it 150 to call for a 800 pot. sure you are getting 5 to 1 to make the call for the flop but 50% of the cards that can come out are going to be overs to you. Lets say however you do make the call (MY FORMAL ANSWER IS FOLD) and the flop comes down Ac 10c 9h giving you a flush draw that is super weak and a back door straight that needs runner runner to win. You are now first to act and you can not make abet because your draw was shit and if you do bet you have 5 others that could easily have hit hands against you. lets say UTG bets another 200 and you get 3 folds leaving you and the raiser and another player and you all see the turn because you decided to call 1500 in the pot and you have 1100 left turn comes 7d making the board look like this.
Ac 10c 9h 7d
giving you the 17 outer for a flush and open-ended straight not to mention you have a pair so that is 2 more outs for a 9 and 3 for the 8 to make your hand improve that's 22 outs and a 44% chance to IMPROVE BUT STILL NOT WIN.
Lets say the Jc comes out and makes your flush and your straight.
board looks like this
Ac 10c 9h 7d Jc pot is 1500
You have made your straight but it is not the nuts straight KQ is nut straight and J8 chops you but the flush is extrenly likely with the smooth calls from the other player in the hand on flop and turn not to mention KQc for the Royal. There is no bet you can call on this round and you could have saved the chips for a quaility hand. |