Blind Bet Poker Forum

Go Back   Blind Bet Poker Forum > General Poker Talk > Limit Texas Hold'em
FAQ Members List CalendarChat Room Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Hollywood Poker | Paradise Poker | Inter Poker | Noble Poker | Ultimate Bet | Bodog Poker
Full Tilt Poker - 100% Deposit Bonus UP TO $600 | Titan Poker - WPT Legends of Poker 2006
Doyles Room - 110% Deposit Bonus UP TO $550 | Party Poker - $20 Million in Monster Freerolls

Trackback Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-06, 08:57 AM
moises20 moises20 is offline
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 14
BBP Points: 58
Default Help me figure this stat out please.

Can someone help me figure out that lets say I have a pocket pair (3, 3) and I make a large bet and everyone folds except for one person who calls? Assuming that he does not have a pocket pair, what are the odds that he will pair one of his cards on the flop? Thank you for any help.
Reply With Quote
  #2 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-06, 10:23 AM
iceberg's Avatar
iceberg iceberg is offline
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Houston
Posts: 583
BBP Points: 258

I use a common method. Let's say that they have AK so there are 6 cards (called Outs) still in the deck of 47 (after the flop). Since there are 3 cards in the flop, they have 3x6=18 chances to hit an Out. That means 47 / (3x6 Outs) ~ 2.5 (ie. once every 2.5 hands).

If they miss on the Flop, then the odds of getting a pair on the Turn is 46 / 6 ~ 8 (ie. 1 in 8). Similarly for the River.

Your chances of hitting trips is roughly 47 / (3x2 Outs) ~ 8 (ie. about one in Eight). If you miss your trips, then 46 / 2 ~ 23 (ie. about 1 chance in 23) on the Turn. Usually if I play small pairs and miss hitting trips, then I will fold if there is a bet.
Reply With Quote

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Forum Jump

All times are GMT -7. The time now is 05:51 PM.

© Copyright 2006 All rights reserved.
Sitemap: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Search Engine Optimization by vBSEO 3.0.0 RC3